Author(s): Iris de Vries, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (First Author, Presenting Author) Frederic Castruccio, NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research Dan Fu, Texas A&M University Paul O'Gorman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Floods associated with extreme precipitation cause tremendous damage and losses every year, and are projected to become more frequent and more severe with climate change in most land regions. Impacts are most unforeseeable and largest when events of much higher intensities than previously observed occur. We analyse where the chances of such surprise events are increasing the fastest, and explain which weather and climate processes are responsible using climate models of low and high resolutions.This can help explain and constrain uncertainties on the future risks posed by unprecedented extreme precipitation.
