- SA51A-03: Impact of increasing greenhouse gases on the ionosphere and thermosphere response to a May 2024-like geomagnetic superstorm (invited)
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NOLA CC
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Nicholas Pedatella, NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (First Author, Presenting Author)
Huixin Liu, Kyushu University
Hanli Liu, NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research
Adam Herrington, NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research
Joseph McInerney, NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research
Geomagnetic storms lead to large changes in the Earth's upper atmosphere (ionosphere and thermosphere) that can have adverse effects on technological systems, such as GPS positioning and orbits of satellites in low-Earth orbit (200-2000 km). It is now understood that increases in greenhouse gas concentrations result in a decrease in the thermosphere neutral density. This is primarily due to CO2 being a radiative cooler at high altitudes, leading to a reduction in temperatures in the mesosphere and thermosphere, and a contraction of the upper atmosphere. The ionosphere is also impacted by changes in CO2. The present study is focused on understanding how changes in the background state of the upper atmosphere due to increases in CO2 alter the response of the ionosphere and thermosphere to geomagnetic storms. Using a coupled Earth system model that includes an atmospheric component that extends to the ionosphere and thermosphere, the response of the upper atmosphere to a geomagnetic superstorm is simulated for different levels of CO2 concentrations. It is found that increasing levels of CO2 generally result in a weaker response of the ionosphere and thermosphere to geomagnetic storms in absolute terms, while their relative responses enhance at higher CO2 levels.
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