Presentation | NG21B: Applied Math Perspectives on Multiscale Complexity: Theory, Computation, and Extreme Events in Geophysical and Urban Systems II Poster
Poster
[ONLINE] NG21B-VR8984: Scaling energy storage and scaling energy transport: the Half-order Energy Balance Equation and temperature projections to 2100
Uncertainties in conventional numerical climate models – as measured by the spread between competing models - have for the first time in over four decades increased (IPCC, AR6, 2021). This approach is in crisis and the community is increasingly turning to Machine Learning i.e. to black boxes that “emulate” the standard (nearly) black box climate models. The root problem is that these models are based in the weather regime, i.e. they spend almost all their effort calculating irrelevant weather details. In this presentation we summarize recent developments in a multidecadal effort to develop new models focused on the relevant details.