- NH24B-03: Influence of Future Sea-Level Rise on Tsunami Hazards in California: Preliminary Results (invited)
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NOLA CC
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Jason Patton, California Geological Survey Eureka (First Author, Presenting Author)
Nicholas Graehl, California Geological Survey Sacramento
Patrick Lynett, University of Southern California
Willington Renteria, University of Southern California
Douglas Bausch, NiyamIT Inc.
Ashley Hoke, Niyam IT Inc.
Troy Schmidt, FEMA/Niyam IT
Todd Becker, California Office of Emergency Services
In this study, we look at how increased sea-level rise (SLR) could change tsunami hazards in California, particularly as more people live, work, and visit the coast. The research focuses on four levels of tsunami risk (with annual return periods of 100-, 475-, 975-, and 2475-years) and how SLR affects coastal flooding, strong currents, erosion, and damage to ports and communities. Using a special simulation tool, we model tsunami waves under four different SLR scenarios (ranging from 0-meter to a 2-meter increase). We then evaluate the potential damage to buildings, the potential economic losses, and the potential casualties using both Esri Business Analyst software and software that mimics the Federal Emergency Management Administration's Tsunami Hazus tsunami risk analysis model. We look at how SLR could impact cultural landmarks, infrastructure, and the engineering of critical and essential buildings in California.
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