- B21N-1821: Land Use Change-Induced Abrupt Changes in Vegetation and the Role of Climate Factors
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Board 1821‚ Hall EFG (Poster Hall)NOLA CC
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Danbi Lee, Pohang University of Science and Technology (First Author, Presenting Author)
So-Won Park, Seoul National University
Yechul Shin, Seoul National University
Jin-Soo Kim, City University of Hong Kong
Jonghun Kam, Pohang University of Science and Technology
Jong-Seong Kug, Seoul National University
Land use change (LUC) and climate are significant threats to terrestrial ecosystems. As these impacts are expected to worsen in the future, it is important to understand how LUC affects vegetation cover and its relationship with regional climate. Using Earth system large ensemble simulations, our research found that abrupt decreases in the Leaf Area Index (LAI) mainly result from cropland expansion. These reductions are also strongly influenced by climate. In areas where LUC occurs, a negative relationship between LAI and surface temperature creates a positive feedback that further decreases LAI and increases warming. Additionally, regionally prolonged dry conditions and a shift toward drier climates can exacerbate the negative effects of LUC on LAI. The impacts of climate change vary by region, with western South America experiencing the most significant LAI decline under the SSP3-7.0 scenario. Our results improve the understanding of the combined effects of LUC and climate change, which could lead to abrupt decreases in vegetation cover in the future.
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