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  • Presentation | OS51E: Dynamic Coastlines amid Changing Sea Levels: Advancements in Understanding of Coastal Hazards and Climate Change Impacts II Poster
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  • OS51E-0455: Evolution of Global Sea-level Rise Projections and Their Uncertainty
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Author(s):
Andra Garner, Rowan University (First Author, Presenting Author)
Amy Appollina, Rowan University
Jessica Slotter, Rowan University
Gregory Garner, Institute of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Rutgers University
Aimee Slangen, CSIRO Hobart
Robert Kopp, Rutgers University New Brunswick
Benjamin Horton, City University of Hong Kong


Despite rising sea levels, coastal populations and economic assets continue to grow. Though scientists have been studying future sea levels for more than 40 years, sea-level rise projections remain uncertain. Our analysis of published sea-level rise projections shows that critical hurdles remain to be overcome, including insufficient focus on sea-level rise projections beyond 2100 and substantial uncertainty surrounding the upper bound of future sea-level rise. In addition, the production of sea-level rise projection is concentrated in a small number of primarily English-speaking countries. At the same time, there have also been important advances by the sea-level rise science community in recent years, including the development of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change sea-level rise projections that better represent estimates of future sea-level rise from individual studies.



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