- OS51G-0491: Trend Analysis of Wave and Wind Climate in the Gulf of Mexico Using Multi‑Scale Innovative Approaches with the WW3 Model Results
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Board 0491‚ Hall EFG (Poster Hall)NOLA CC
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Mustafa Cambazoglu, The University of Southern Mississippi (First Author)
Ali Emre Koruk, University of Southern Mississippi (Presenting Author)
Gowri Shankar Chinnathambi, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Waves and winds in the Gulf of Mexico affect shipping, offshore energy, and coastal safety. Understanding how they change over time helps scientists and engineers prepare for extreme events and design resilient infrastructure. In this study, we used the WaveWatch III (WW3) model to examine 20‑, 40‑, and 80‑year trends in three key measurements: wave height, wave period, and wind speed at 24 locations across the Gulf.We combined a classic trend detection method, the Mann–Kendall test, with new Innovative Trend Analysis techniques that visualize changes in ways traditional statistics cannot. These methods include polygon‑based diagrams, radar charts, and bar plots that show where and when waves and winds are increasing or decreasing. Our automated workflow created over 600 high‑quality figures showing trends for each site and time period.Preliminary results suggest that wave heights and wind speeds show uneven seasonal patterns, with some areas increasing and others decreasing, while wave periods vary more irregularly. These early findings highlight the complexity of the Gulf’s climate and the need for further analysis. Our approach provides new tools for understanding how marine conditions evolve over time, which is valuable for research, coastal planning, and risk management.
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