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  • Presentation | GC51A: Advances in Emulating Earth System Models II Oral
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  • [ONLINE] GC51A-05: MESMERv1 and Beyond: Mapping the Climate Emulation Landscape for Generating Policy-Relevant Insights (invited)
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Author(s):
Sarah Schöngart, ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich (First Author, Presenting Author)
Lukas Gudmundsson, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science
Victoria Bauer, ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich
Mathias Hauser, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science
Yann Quilcaille, ETH Zurich
Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Sonia Seneviratne, ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich


As we increasingly experience impacts from climate change, questions focus on who contributed to these impacts and how to reduce or manage future risks. Climate emulators help answer these questions by linking emissions to local impacts quickly and efficiently.


Different goals—like tracking contributions, projecting extremes, or assessing risks—require different emulator designs. We present a guide to help match methods to questions, showing how modelling choices affect what emulators can do. We also place existing tools like MESMER, an open-source emulator, in this broader context.


Using MESMER, we show how emissions from the wealthiest groups have disproportionately contributed to global warming—key estimates for climate justice debates.


Our research highlights how emulators can support fairer, more informed climate decisions.




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