- [ONLINE] SY51C-VR8975: Development of a WRF-Assisted Deep Learning Model for Lightning Forecasting and GIS-Based Risk Analysis in Bangladesh
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Mohan Kumar Das, National Oceanographic And Maritime Institute (NOAMI) (First Author, Presenting Author)
Md. Awlad Hossain, National Oceanographic And Maritime Institute (NOAMI)
Md. Shameem Hassan Bhuyian, Bangladesh Meteorological Department (BMD), Bangladesh
Samarendra Karmakar, National Oceanographic And Maritime Institute (NOAMI)
Karabi Karmaker, Bangladesh Maritime University
Jewel Merajul, University of Dhaka
Puspendu Biswas Paul, National Oceanographic and Maritime Institute
Saiful Islam, University of Dhaka
Lightning is a dangerous weather hazard in Bangladesh, causing over 2,100 deaths and hundreds of injuries between 2015 and 2022. This study introduces a smart prediction system that uses weather model data and artificial intelligence to forecast lightning with high accuracy. By analyzing factors like atmospheric heat, moisture, and instability, the model can identify likely strike zones up to a fine regional scale. Among several AI methods tested, one model stood out with a significantly higher accuracy rate. The research also mapped areas most affected by lightning, with Sunamganj district identified as the highest-risk zone. This system offers valuable support for early warning and disaster planning, helping protect lives and reduce damage from severe weather.
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