- EP21D-1638: Hurricane Francine (2024) Across the Mississippi Delta: Linking Offshore Waves to Estuarine Response with Multiscale Coupled Ocean–Wave–Hydrology Models
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Board 1638‚ Hall EFG (Poster Hall)NOLA CC
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Muhamad Farid Geonova, Louisiana State University (First Author, Presenting Author)
Z. George Xue, Louisiana State University
Yanda Ou, Louisiana State University
John Warner, U.S. Geological Survey
Maitane Olabarrieta, University of Florida
Matthew Hiatt, Louisiana State University
Jesbin George, Louisiana State University
Jacob Davis, Applied Physics Laboratory, University of Washington
Jim Thomson, University of Washington
Isabel Houghton, Sofar Ocean
Martha Schonau, University of California San Diego
Luca Centurioni, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego
Hurricane Francine struck Louisiana in September 2024, sending powerful waves from the deep Gulf of Mexico into the shallow, marsh‑filled Barataria Bay. Predicting how those waves change as they travel across open water, into narrow channels, and over fragile wetlands is hard because the physical processes act on very different spatial scales. We tackled this problem with a “zoom‑in” computer‑model approach. First, a Gulf‑wide model with 1‑kilometer grid cells simulated the storm winds, currents, and wave heights across the whole northern Gulf. The results from that coarse model then fed a second model with 100‑meter grid cells focused on coastal Louisiana. This high‑resolution model included detailed river flows and wetland channels, letting us see how waves lost energy once they hit shallow water and vegetation. We checked the model against instruments deployed during the storm, floating drifters offshore and water‑level/wave gauges inside the bay and found close agreement. The simulations show that wave heights dropped by more than half inside Barataria Bay because of depth‑limited breaking over sandbars, friction with the muddy bottom, and the maze‑like marsh shoreline. Mapping this wave‑energy loss helps scientists and planners estimate how future storms might affect other vulnerable deltas.
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