- H13F-08: Observation to Prediction: Toward a National Infrastructure for Headwater Science & Forecasting
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NOLA CC
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Adam Ward, Oregon State University (First Author, Presenting Author)
John Selker, Oregon State University
Gordon Grant, Oregon State University
Scott Tyler, University of Nevada, Reno
Jeffrey McDonnell, University of Saskatchewan
David Hyndman, Michigan State University
Marc Bierkens, Deltares
David Gochis, National Center for Atmospheric Research
William Dietrich, University of California Berkeley
Jerad Bales, Consortium of Universities for the Advancement of Hydrologic Science, Inc.
Heather Golden, US Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research & Development
Jay Christensen, US EPA, ORD, NERL, ESD
Hilary McMillan, San Diego State University
Margaret Zimmer, University of Wisconsin Madison
Kristin L. Jaeger, U. S. Geological Survey
Admin Husic, University of Kansas
Erin Seybold, University of Kansas
C. Nathan Jones, University of Alabama
Headwater streams—those small streams that feed into larger rivers—play a big role in our water supply, ecosystems, and water quality. But scientists still struggle to predict how water moves through these areas. That’s because we don’t have enough data, our computer models often miss key details, and different tools don’t always work well together.Even though technology has improved—like better sensors, satellites, and powerful computers—we’re still missing the bigger picture. Scientists now say it’s time to connect the dots. They propose a new, large-scale effort to monitor and model headwater streams across the country. This would help us better understand where water is, how it flows, and how it might change in the future.
By building a shared network of data and models, researchers could predict floods, droughts, and water availability with more accuracy. They could also test new ideas and improve models over time. With water supplies under pressure from climate change and growing demand, this kind of smart investment could help secure clean, reliable water for people and nature alike. The tools are ready—now we need the strategy and commitment to bring them together.
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