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  • Presentation | H14G: Recent Advances in Large-Scale Hydrologic and Flood Modeling: Assessing and Predicting Extreme Floods II Oral
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  • H14G-08: HEC-RAS 2D Emulation Using Sparse Gaussian Process Regression – Benchmarking New Approaches to Reduce the Computational Demand of Probabilistic Flood Modeling.
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  • Location Icon231-232
    NOLA CC
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Author(s):
Richard Passarelli, AtkinsRéalis (First Author)
Scott Lawson, Dewberry (Presenting Author)
Rosemary Cyriac, AtkinsRéalis
Mohammad Ghaneeizad, AtkinsRéalis
Shubham Jain, Michael Baker International
Maryam Pakdehi, Michael Baker International
Jack Elsey, CDM Smith
Daniel Wilusz, Dewberry
Mathew Mampara, Dewberry
Sarada Kalikivaya, AtkinsRéalis
David Rosa, FEMA Engineering Resources Branch
Haden Smith, USACE Risk Management Center


Flood hazard datasets may be improved by accounting for uncertainty within flood models, but the additional time and cost needed to run such analyses may limit their widespread use. This study examines whether sparse Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), a machine learning model with relatively short execution times, may be used to emulate the results from more detailed flood models. Examining a 173 km2 catchment in northern Texas, our analysis found that the GPR emulator was able to mimic the results from a detailed flood model while reducing computation time. These preliminary results indicate that GPR emulation is a promising approach to develop flood hazard datasets that incorporate uncertainty at regional and national scales.



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