- GC11D-08: Climate on the Brink: How Droughts and Wildfires Threaten the Durability of Nature-Based Solutions
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Sassan Saatchi, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory (First Author, Presenting Author)
Manoj Hari, National Institute of Technology Rourkela
Yan Yang, Ecosystem Research Team, CTrees.org, Pasadena, California, USA
Luiz Aragao, INPE National Institute for Space Research
Celso Silva Junior, Instituto de Pesquisa Ambiental da Amazônia - IPAM
Ane Alencar, IPAM Amazon Environmental Research Institute
Carlos Nobre, USP University of Sao Paulo
The Amazon rainforest is under growing threat. Once a stable climate buffer, it is now burning more often—even in regions once too wet to ignite. Rising temperatures, longer droughts, and weak enforcement of environmental policies are accelerating this destructive cycle.Using 30 years of satellite data, we show the Amazon is becoming more vulnerable to fire and climate extremes—even in previously untouched areas. With Brazil set to host COP30 in 2025, there is a key chance to expand global efforts beyond halting deforestation to include fire prevention, forest restoration, and climate justice.
REDD+ remains one of the most effective tools for conserving tropical forests and cutting emissions. But lasting impact requires stronger local action: enforcing fire bans, restoring forest edges, and embracing natural regrowth as a cost-effective climate solution.
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