- GC21F-0709: High-Resolution Climate Scenarios for Transhumant Pastoralism
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Board 0709‚ Hall EFG (Poster Hall)NOLA CC
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Thomas Mote, University of Georgia (First Author, Presenting Author)
Brian Burke, Appalachian State University
Julia Tootle, University of Florida
Pablo Manzano, Basque Centre for Climate Change
Sonrisa Reed, University of Georgia
Meredith Welch-Devine, University of Georgia
Ferran Paune, Basque Centre for Climate Change
Mountain farming systems that move livestock seasonally, called transhumant pastoralism, are at risk from changing climate. However, many current climate tools are not meaningful to people who rely on transhumance. This study presents a method to create detailed, easy-to-use climate scenarios to help people in regions like the French Basque Pyrenees plan for the future. It combines past and future climate data to group into different climate types, each representing a possible scenario of the future climate. We then summarize key seasonal changes, like how long dry seasons could be or changes in frost occurrence, which are important for local farmers. The approach was developed with input from pastoralists in Soule, France, and helps them understand climate changes and manage uncertainty and show how flexibility in mobility is a strength.
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